Tuesday, January 4, 2011

Rhymes of History

Mark Twain says that history doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme. 

Dr. Thornburg similarly describes one of the forces that drive emerging technology as “Rhymes of history,” which is a term he uses to define new technology which has emerged due to the impact felt many years before from another technology, or when a technology rekindles something from the past.
In Kevin Kelly’s speech, "The Next 5,000 Days of the Web," he discusses the impact the web has on society and states that: “We will increasingly be dependent on the Internet and it will increasingly be dependent on us.” We already depend on many technological aspects of the Internet, such as using different mobile technologies, connecting with each other, and even communication with banks, schools, and government offices. We use the cloud computing to store, retrieve, and transmit data, in addition to communicating; and new technologies are continuously emerging.

In tune with Kelly’s concepts of embodiment, restructuring, and codependency, we can look at the development of Skype as part of a “rhymes of history.” Video phones have always been a part of collective imagination which can be seen from their use in the Jetson cartoons, and the James Bond and Star Trek movies. In earlier times, drawings of future princes and princesses were carried by messengers to arrange marriages around continents; we always wanted to see the person with whom we are communicating. From the idea of the Telephonoscope, came personal video phones and Skype, where users can transmit live images. Videophones were mostly developed due to broadband Internet technology. As cloud technology advances, Kelly states that the Internet will become more personalized, where we will all have a global profile that will be our identification on the Internet, which means that we and others could connect and “see” us.

 










CNN Tech (March 2, 2010) ran an interesting article on high-speed Internet, television and Skype and whether it could be combined to create a videophone TV: “Skype on TV: Will the videophone finally be reality?” (http://www.cnn.com/2010/TECH/03/02/skype.on.tv.videophone/index.html)

The latest article on CNN Tech (January 4, 2011) “5 gadget trends to watch at CES” (Consumer Electronics Show) showcase technological tools whose meteoric technological advances were possible due to the development of the Internet and cloud computing.  http://www.cnn.com/2011/TECH/gaming.gadgets/01/04/ces.expected.trends/index.html?hpt=C2

Reference:
Friedman, N. (2009). The high cost of computers? U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings, 135(3), 90−91.

Kelly, K. (2007, December). The next 5,000 days of the web [speech]. Speech delivered at the EG 2007 Conference, Los Angeles. Retrieved from http://www.ted.com/index.php/talks/kevin_kelly_on_the_next_5_000_days_of_the_web.html

Pew Internet & American Life Project. (2010, June 11). The future of cloud computing. Retrieved from http://pewresearch.org/pubs/1623/future-cloud-computing-technology-experts

Thornburg, D. (Producer). (nd). Rhymes of history. [Video Podcast]. Laureate Education, Inc.

Thornburg, D. (Producer). (nd). Six forces that drive emerging technology. [Video Podcast]. Laureate Education, Inc.

8 comments:

  1. Orit,

    It seems we are becoming more and more like the "image" of the future as seen in the past; stories such as the Jetsons, or Star Trek. The next wave of "coming attractions" is said to be holographic images...I guess we'd all better watch the modern movies for a glimpse of what is to come in the following 30-40 years!

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  2. Great Jetsons Pic! Your thoughts on the video chat are well founded. One of the main updates for the latest incarnation of the iPhone and other Apple products is the use of video chat. Video chat is also becoming possible with our tv's through Google TV.

    Well done!

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  3. I had never heard of the telephonoscope. Pretty cool and the picture of the lady with the touchtone phone was rather amusing. I have my webcam hooked up to my television and use it to Skype with my family. It is pretty cool communicating and seeing your family on a big screen tv.

    Skype seems to be an increasingly popular way to communicate. Why do you think previous incarnations of the video phone never really took off?

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  4. I think Skype's popularity took off because it is free! Love it! This allows me to see family that I usually can't because of distance. Being able to see someone when you speak to them makes the conversation more meaningful. Frankly, it is good to see people talking and not texting!!

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  5. Lori,
    You are right, what was once considered a futuristic cartoon or a movie, does eventually become a current reality as the development of one technological tool generates an ability for another technological idea to soar.
    Orit

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  6. Thanks! It is interesting that by merging new technological developments, a new idea is generated

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  7. Jeff,
    I think the main reason was the cost and the inconvenience of purchasing these phones. Skype, however, is free. All one needs is an Internet connection, a video camera, and a microphone; and most computers already come with these features.
    Orit

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  8. Erin,
    You are right. I think when a technology is free; users will be more inclined to test it and use.
    Orit

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